
Fall River - Bellwether of Climate Change

Where Groundwater Becomes Surface Water
Spring-derived rivers are unique because their source springs are right at the interface where groundwater turns into surface water. Snow melting along the Cascade crest 18 miles to the west and infiltrating through cracks and seams in the basalt
This makes the variations in its streamflow an excellent indicator of hydrological conditions throughout the Upper Deschutes River basin. In fact, when the variations in streamflow at Fall River are compared with water table fluctuations in an observation well near Sisters, Oregon — nearly 40 miles away! — they’ve shown a very strong correlation over the 40 years from 1960-2000 (chart above).
Local Indicator of Climate Change
Stream-gage records indicate that Fall River has little seasonal variation; its average monthly flow only varies about 5% from its average annual flow. This contrasts with a runoff-dominated river like the Upper Deschutes at its headwaters, whose monthly flow varies by nearly 50% from its average annual flow (in green, chart below). On the scale of decades though, Fall River’s flows do respond to longer-term wet/dry cycles and snowpack trends (in blue below).
Most striking is the 40% overall decline in the long-term average flow of Fall River in the six-plus decades since 1950. This has been matched by a corresponding fall in groundwater tables throughout the Upper Deschutes Basin. Most of these declines are attributed to a warming climate, as precipitation in the High Cascades shifts more to rain and less to snow, reducing the volume of groundwater infiltration and discharge to spring-fed streams like Fall River.
Hiking the Fall River Trail
One of the best ways to experience Fall River is to hike all or part of its 3.3-mile riverside trail. Open most of the year, except in the snowy winter months, the trail is accessible at four different points along State Road 42 (aka South Century Drive), about 28 driving miles southwest of Bend. The hike can be started from its west end, its east end, or at one of two access points in between, and can cover all or just part of the entire trail (see map download below).Perhaps its most remarkable feature is Fall River’s headwaters springs, found at the trail’s west end behind the Fall River Guard Station, just off Road 42. The old Guard Station is not open to the public, but can be rented for overnight use from the Forest Service. About 100 feet south from the parking area, walking around the railed yard of the Guard Station, one comes to the gushing, grassy-banked springs. Look for tiny white orchids and water ouzels around these springs.

For some stretches, the trail marks the boundary of controlled burns in the upland ponderosa groves above the river. At 2.4 miles, the trail passes near a paved parking area on Road 42, which can make a good turn-around point, or the end/start of the hike if one’s group has two cars. The trail continues east for another 0.9 miles to its terminus at a second parking area on Road 42 — but this section is mostly through thick lodgepole stands and is perhaps the least scenic.
Download (PDF, 679 KB): Photos of Fall River Trail
Download (PDF, 730 KB): Map for Fall River Trail
DISCLAIMER: Every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of this information, but the authors do not guarantee that it is either current or correct. The reader assumes full responsibility for any use of this information, and is encouraged to exercise all due caution while recreating.